Saturday, April 20, 2024

Afghanistan gains will be lost significantly after drawdown: US intelligence

Immigration News

Ahmad Shah Ghanizada
Ahmad Shah Ghanizada
Ahmadshah Ghanizada is the deputy editor in chief for The Khaama Press Agency who manages and overlooks the English edition.

US intelligence report AfghanistanThe U.S. intelligence in its latest estimate predicts that the gains the United States and allies have made in Afghanistan war during the past three years will be significantly rolled back by 2017.

The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) predicts that the gains are likely to have been significantly eroded, even if Washington leaves behind a few thousand troops and continues bankrolling the impoverished nation, according to officials familiar with the report.

Taliban and other power brokers will become increasingly influential as the United States winds down its longest war in history, according to the National Intelligence Estimate which includes input from the country’s 16 intelligence agencies.

The report also predicts that Afghanistan would likely descend into chaos quickly if the Washington and Kabul don’t sign a security pact that would keep an international military contingent there beyond 2014.

A U.S. official familiar with the report told Washington post, “In the absence of a continuing presence and continuing financial support,” the intelligence assessment “suggests the situation would deteriorate very rapidly.”

The official speaking on the condition of anonymity further added, the conclusion is widely shared among U.S. officials working on Afghanistan.

In the meantime, a number of US officials felt the report on the potential outcome of the longest war in U.S. history was overly pessimistic and did not take into account progress made by Afghanistan’s security forces.

“I think what we’re going to see is a recalibration of political power, territory and that kind of thing. It’s not going to be an inevitable rise of the Taliban,” said a US official.

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